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Sugar Bowl Bet

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Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby NVGator » Mon Dec 31, 2012 10:39 pm

OK, serious question for the board....

UF opened at a 15 pt. favorite and has since moved to 14 pts. The move was right after the opening.

So, if you have $100.00 to bet on this game, do you take Florida minus the points or Louisville taking the points?

No doubt I believe Florida will win, but that is a large line for the offense to cover.

As a teaser, the Ov/Un is 45.5. This has dropped from 47. Leads me to believe the lean is Louisville + the points and the Under.


I'd love some serious thoughts as I will be at the Sportsbook tomorrow.
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Coach9 wrote:8-4 Should always be considered a bad year at Florida. That should be our lower limit. Undefeated down to 8-4 should be our window.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby BSJGator » Mon Dec 31, 2012 11:16 pm

I never bet against the Gators, and I'm not sure I'd take the points either way. But damned if I wouldn't bet the under....
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby law98gator » Mon Dec 31, 2012 11:48 pm

Q is the only man for betting advice.
ufgator812. wrote:Fvck Richt, Herschel, Will Muschamp, Larry Munson, Lindsey Scott (fvck him twice), Vince Dooley ... Yes, Fvck them all.

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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby gardnerwebbalumnigator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:34 am

Bet the over, but the Gators won't cover. Charlie will have a trick or two up his sleeve.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby NVGator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:35 am

law98gator wrote:Q is the only man for betting advice.

No big surprise from your response law. Can't you just have an actual serious thought and leave others out? It's pretty simple, either you think Florida will win by 2 TDs or you don't. :rolleyes:
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Coach9 wrote:8-4 Should always be considered a bad year at Florida. That should be our lower limit. Undefeated down to 8-4 should be our window.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby gardnerwebbalumnigator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:40 am

UF 34
UL 24

I think both teams will hit at least two big 50+ yard scoring plays each. Our run game wears them out late however.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby law98gator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:41 am

NVGator wrote:
law98gator wrote:Q is the only man for betting advice.

No big surprise from your response law. Can't you just have an actual serious thought and leave others out?

No, but thanks for asking.
ufgator812. wrote:Fvck Richt, Herschel, Will Muschamp, Larry Munson, Lindsey Scott (fvck him twice), Vince Dooley ... Yes, Fvck them all.

divits888 wrote:
Bammer wrote:Isn't government intrusion your flavor du jour, divits?
Isn’t every flavor ever known to man your flavor du jour?
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby law98gator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:43 am

gardnerwebbalumnigator wrote:UF 34
UL 24

I think both teams will hit at least two big 50+ yard scoring plays each. Our run game wears them out late however.


I'll be REAL surprised if they score 2 tds. This is a team that lost to Marshall last year.
Last edited by law98gator on Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
ufgator812. wrote:Fvck Richt, Herschel, Will Muschamp, Larry Munson, Lindsey Scott (fvck him twice), Vince Dooley ... Yes, Fvck them all.

divits888 wrote:
Bammer wrote:Isn't government intrusion your flavor du jour, divits?
Isn’t every flavor ever known to man your flavor du jour?
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby NVGator » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:43 am

law98gator wrote:
NVGator wrote:
law98gator wrote:Q is the only man for betting advice.

No big surprise from your response law. Can't you just have an actual serious thought and leave others out?

No, but thanks for asking.

:finger: Liar! :lol:
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Coach9 wrote:8-4 Should always be considered a bad year at Florida. That should be our lower limit. Undefeated down to 8-4 should be our window.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby Quasimodo » Tue Jan 01, 2013 3:37 am

Given our offensive struggles this year I'd take Louisville +14.

Think of it this way: we played eight other FBS teams with a winning record on our schedule, and only once did we win by more than 14 points.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby alcoholica » Tue Jan 01, 2013 9:28 am

I have not heard of any reports that the OLine isn't healthy, so I'd have to give the points and take UF. I think UF will be focused to go out big. Probably the last game for Floyd, Elam, Reed, Jenkins, and Easley, not to mention Bostic, Evans, Hunter, Gilly, and those on offense. The fact that the Seniors were here and then had 2 crappy seasons and are now back. I don't see them letting this one slip. Plus this could be huge for recruiting if UF blows out UL. If the D is on point, this could be worse than the FSU game.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby G8RByte » Tue Jan 01, 2013 10:12 am

I'd give the points with our OLine healthy and rested. I think we'll run with success, and there should be a few big plays downfield with Louisville selling out on the run.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby Class of '78 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:00 pm

It does seem like an unsubstantiated spread until you take into consideration how capable UF's defense is at turning a game on the dime with turnovers.

Look what happened against USCe and FSU. Big margins due to turnovers.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby oxrageous » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:16 pm

I wouldn't touch that line. UF has a way of keeping every game close.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby G8RByte » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:35 pm

oxrageous wrote:I wouldn't touch that line. UF has a way of keeping every game close.


Very true Ox. If the Muschamp muzzle is not on Pease, I think we could put up some points and no one scores much on our defense. I just hope the defense has their head in this game with so many going pro.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby Quasimodo » Thu Jan 03, 2013 2:26 am

Law, I hope you took my advice.
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Re: Sugar Bowl Bet

Postby NVGator » Thu Jan 03, 2013 2:51 am

Goddamnit Q! I went against my own gut feeling for 4 weeks and allowed my heart to persuade me to pick Florida -14.5.

I had Florida -14.5
Florida -14.5+Over 48
Gilly Over 93.5 yards
Longest TD Ov 46.5. (thanks for the KO return)
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Coach9 wrote:8-4 Should always be considered a bad year at Florida. That should be our lower limit. Undefeated down to 8-4 should be our window.
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