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A gambler's look at FL-GA

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A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby gatorspook » Fri Nov 23, 2012 12:52 pm

Okay, I don't bet, and know even less about it. Help me here, NV.....

That said, I heard a gambling guy on Sirius XM college say that the reason that we lost the UGA game, and that there was a lot of money dumped on UGA, was that it was leaked that the team was decimated by the flu. And that fact was being passed as inside information...

Muschamp and the team don't believe in excuses, nor do I. But I am curious if this is true. Not so much that we had the flu...obviously we did...but was it a big deal as far as inside information for gamblers was concerned?
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Class of '78 » Fri Nov 23, 2012 12:58 pm

Your second gambling thread in a last few days prefaced by, "I'm not a gambler but ..."

:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby IDGAC » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:01 pm

Please just stop. You are starting to sound like Nole fans after their drubbing in the 97 Sugar Bowl. Just admit that our offense sucks donkey balls and move on. :facepalm:
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby gatorspook » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:02 pm

Class of '78 wrote:Your second gambling thread in a last few days prefaced by, "I'm not a gambler but ..."

:lol: :lol: :lol:


Actually, I'm really not a gambler at all. But I think not knowing much about it, I'm curious about these experts and whether or not they really have a clue.

I've worked in Vegas and blown like $20 in a slot before leaving just to say I gambled something. lol No moral reasons, it just doesn't fit my personality I guess.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby law98gator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:03 pm

Warrick Dunn's mama gave us some bad gumbo.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Sasquatch Gator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:04 pm

That would certainly explain the sluggish nature of the entire team that day, but health is just another factor of college football. Some days you're the dog, other days you're the hydrant. It happens.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Class of '78 » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:05 pm

gatorspook wrote:
Class of '78 wrote:Your second gambling thread in a last few days prefaced by, "I'm not a gambler but ..."

:lol: :lol: :lol:


Actually, I'm really not a gambler at all. But I think not knowing much about it, I'm curious about these experts and whether or not they really have a clue.

I've worked in Vegas and blown like $20 in a slot before leaving just to say I gambled something. lol No moral reasons, it just doesn't fit my personality I guess.


Just punkin' ya, Herb. On a more serious note, I do think they often know more because they've got lots more skin in the game. As to how they get their information ... :question:
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby FunnGun » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:07 pm

I've heard that Craig James killed five hookers while at SMU.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby gatorspook » Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:09 pm

Sasquatch Gator wrote:That would certainly explain the sluggish nature of the entire team that day, but health is just another factor of college football. Some days you're the dog, other days you're the hydrant. It happens.


Exactly...there is a common thread...that UGA had more energy than us.

And remember decimate was a Roman term. In Latin, it refers to one in ten. Nine long straws, one short one. The loss of 10%. The fact that we use the term as a complete loss actually speaks to the importance of the loss of 10%.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby NVGator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:19 pm

gatorspook wrote:Okay, I don't bet, and know even less about it. Help me here, NV.....

That said, I heard a gambling guy on Sirius XM college say that the reason that we lost the UGA game, and that there was a lot of money dumped on UGA, was that it was leaked that the team was decimated by the flu. And that fact was being passed as inside information...

Muschamp and the team don't believe in excuses, nor do I. But I am curious if this is true. Not so much that we had the flu...obviously we did...but was it a big deal as far as inside information for gamblers was concerned?


In therory, yes this could have been a factor but the change in line doesn't support that. The line opened at UF -3.5. By game time it had moved to UF -6.5 or -7 (depending on the Sportsbook). If more money was being put on Georgia +pts. to win, then the line won ld have gone closer to UF -1.5 or even -.5. Instead the line moved to support more money being put on UF to cover the points. Hence why the line moved in favor of Georgia getting more points to win.

I heard about the flu, but that wasn't till Friday.

Hope that helps.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby gatorspook » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:24 pm

NVGator wrote:
gatorspook wrote:Okay, I don't bet, and know even less about it. Help me here, NV.....

That said, I heard a gambling guy on Sirius XM college say that the reason that we lost the UGA game, and that there was a lot of money dumped on UGA, was that it was leaked that the team was decimated by the flu. And that fact was being passed as inside information...

Muschamp and the team don't believe in excuses, nor do I. But I am curious if this is true. Not so much that we had the flu...obviously we did...but was it a big deal as far as inside information for gamblers was concerned?


In therory, yes this could have been a factor but the change in line doesn't support that. The line opened at UF -3.5. By game time it had moved to UF -6.5 or -7 (depending on the Sportsbook). If more money was being put on Georgia +pts. to win, then the line won ld have gone closer to UF -1.5 or even -.5. Instead the line moved to support more money being put on UF to cover the points. Hence why the line moved in favor of Georgia getting more points to win.

I heard about the flu, but that wasn't till Friday.

Hope that helps.


Interesting. I was wondering if it was some gambling shill's knowledge in retrospect.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby lagator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:29 pm

1. Who gives a rats azz about the UGA game? We lost, get over it.
2. No one knows for sure which way a game is going to end in relation to the point spread since in the majority of games, the outcome isn't pre-determined, and over the long haul the results are surprisingly close to 50/50 dogs and favorites covering. That's why the books want equal money on both sides of the game. If they knew the outcome before the game was played they would move the line to get as much money as possible on the losing side.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby NVGator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:29 pm

I got in at Florida -4. Other than the flu, which I think might have been a bigger issue than most of us think, this was also the first time in the year we were actually favored to win. UT, USCe, and LSU we were all underdogs. I tend to also think that has an effect on the teams psych.

That's why I like us being the dog tomorrow.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby FunnGun » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:31 pm

gatorspook wrote:And remember decimate was a Roman term. In Latin, it refers to one in ten. Nine long straws, one short one. The loss of 10%. The fact that we use the term as a complete loss actually speaks to the importance of the loss of 10%.

Image

Dude, it's friday, I'm sitting in my recliner watching football and eating a ton of leftovers. This kind of thinking will ruin my buzz.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Sasquatch Gator » Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:39 pm

FunnGun wrote:
gatorspook wrote:And remember decimate was a Roman term. In Latin, it refers to one in ten. Nine long straws, one short one. The loss of 10%. The fact that we use the term as a complete loss actually speaks to the importance of the loss of 10%.

Image

Dude, it's friday, I'm sitting in my recliner watching football and eating a ton of leftovers. This kind of thinking will ruin my buzz.

How can you watch B1G/MAC football when Con Air is on? :?
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby FunnGun » Fri Nov 23, 2012 3:16 pm

Sasquatch Gator wrote:
FunnGun wrote:
gatorspook wrote:And remember decimate was a Roman term. In Latin, it refers to one in ten. Nine long straws, one short one. The loss of 10%. The fact that we use the term as a complete loss actually speaks to the importance of the loss of 10%.

Image

Dude, it's friday, I'm sitting in my recliner watching football and eating a ton of leftovers. This kind of thinking will ruin my buzz.

How can you watch B1G/MAC football when Con Air is on? :?

:lol: At this point I'll watch anything. Winter(off season) is coming.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Grengadgy » Fri Nov 23, 2012 3:18 pm

law98gator wrote:Warrick Dunn's mama gave us some bad gumbo.



His mother was gunned down on January 7, 1993. I think that you must be thinking about his grandmother.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby BoomTown » Fri Nov 23, 2012 5:08 pm

Grengadgy wrote:
law98gator wrote:Warrick Dunn's mama gave us some bad gumbo.



His mother was gunned down on January 7, 1993. I think that you must be thinking about his grandmother.

That's exactly what Law was saying: Dunn's Grandma fed the team Dunn's momma.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby Kilzyo » Fri Nov 23, 2012 9:40 pm

We lost to Georgia because we turned the ball over 6 times for whatever reason...not because it was leaked we had the flu.
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Re: A gambler's look at FL-GA

Postby oxrageous » Fri Nov 23, 2012 10:45 pm

lagator wrote:1. Who gives a rats azz about the UGA game? We lost, get over it.

This is your attitude about a rivalry game that cost us the East?
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